Timeline
What happened, month by month, newest first. Each event links to the sources that document it. Actions and documents count for more than statements (why).
Order:in the order it happenedin the order people heard of it
June 2027 1 eventScheduled
March 2027 1 eventScheduled
December 2026 2 eventsScheduled
October 2026 28 events
- British Columbia general election, polling day (scheduled)
- Carney: US Embassy claims that Canada is interfering in the midterms have 'no merit'; Joly: 'That is diplomacy'
- Trump signs a proclamation changing the list of Canadian goods under the 50% Section 338 tariffs, effective 30 October: 22 tariff lines out (thin hardwood plywood, some paper and plastic packaging, machinery), 100 in (carpets, valves, waste, cocoa powder, thin MDF and other goods)
- US Embassy publishes 'Fact Sheet: Monitoring Canadian Activities in U.S. Politics', accusing Canadian ministers and premiers of planning to influence US politics ahead of the midterms
- Alberta's 19 October 2026 referendum includes a non-binding question on starting the legal process toward a separation referendum (scheduled)
- US Commerce issues final results of the seventh softwood lumber reviews: the 'all others' anti-dumping plus countervailing rate falls to 24.75% from 35.16%
- State Department on the Alberta separatist meetings: 'routine' civil-society meetings, 'no commitments were made'
- Alberta Court of Appeal, 4-1, finds the amended federal Impact Assessment Act still unconstitutional in Alberta's reference
- Chiefs of Ontario, AFNQL, BC Assembly of First Nations and Nishnawbe Aski Nation jointly reject Bill C-39 and call for its withdrawal as it clears second reading
- Cold Lake First Nations files for judicial review in Federal Court of the Pacific Link national-interest designation
- Six environmental groups call C-39 the 'Bulldoze Nature Bill' and ask that it be split and studied by standing committees
- Elon Musk posts on X that Quebec, Alberta and Saskatchewan should separate from Canada
- Wakeham unworried by the PQ win: confident the new premier will see the Churchill Falls deal as good; the border question is settled
- Statistics Canada: exports to the US rebound 8.1% in August 2026 and take 69.8% of Canada's exports, after a revised 66.1% in July
- Trump on resuming trade talks with Canada before the midterms: 'I don't know... I'm in no rush'; says Canada charged 'tariffs that nobody knew about'
- Quebec general election: the Parti Québécois wins 59 of 127 seats, short of a majority; the CAQ is shut out (preliminary results)
- Globe and Mail report: Alberta Prosperity Project co-founder says the group gave State Department officials a document offering water, oil royalties and rail land for help with independence
- State Department declines to confirm the PQ meeting request and says the election is Quebecers' decision
- PSPP denies seeking a State Department meeting, calls the report a 'manœuvre', and says his team only told the US consulate of a planned US tour
- USTR opens public comments and hearing requests for the 2027 USMCA joint review, due 12 January 2027
- Washington Governor Ferguson and the state Ecology director criticize Canada's Pacific Link listing over Salish Sea tanker traffic
- LNG Canada Phase 2 early construction begins days after the investment decision; JGC-Fluor joint venture holds the EPC contract (Fluor's share US$7.5 billion)
- Fréchette says she should have waited for more information before speaking about the interference reports
- Ecojustice, Équiterre, Environmental Defence, Greenpeace and the Pembina Institute criticize the Pacific Link listing; no lawsuit announced
- Assembly of First Nations: the Pacific Link decision came 'only 12 days after the consultation deadline'; chiefs split
- Coldwater Indian Band says it is considering legal or other action against Pacific Link
- Union of BC Indian Chiefs rejects the Pacific Link listing and says it will be fought in court and, if necessary, on the ground
- Carney lists the West Coast oil pipeline, renamed Pacific Link, as the first project of national interest under Schedule 1 of the Building Canada Act
September 2026 79 events
- Ksi Lisims LNG announces a 20-year agreement to supply Centrica with 1 million tonnes a year, ahead of its final investment decision
- As US import bans take effect, Carney rules out further trade pressure and says Canada 'stands ready to negotiate in good faith'; LeBlanc says Canada won't apologize
- Wet'suwet'en hereditary chiefs and environmental groups say LNG Canada Phase 2 has no business case without public subsidies
- Carney laughs off Navarro's and Trump's remarks: 'I take note of both comments... No response to either'
- Navarro tells Canadian lobbyists to 'get the hell out' of the US and warns Canada would 'pay even more dearly' if it interfered in elections in Maine or Michigan
- LNG Canada's partners take the final investment decision on Phase 2, to double the Kitimat plant's capacity to 28 million tonnes a year
- US import bans on certain Canadian dairy products, molasses, alcoholic beverages and motorcycles take effect
- Fréchette says a CAQ employee passing the DARC document to journalists was 'ill-advised'; the employee stays
- Canada Energy Regulator approves the Trans Mountain toll settlement as 'just and reasonable'
- Environmental groups warn Bill C-39 would create 'sacrifice zones where projects could get rubber stamped'
- Stelco says it will idle its Hamilton cold-rolled and coated lines indefinitely, affecting up to 500 employees
- Radio-Canada: CAQ staff pitched the DARC texts to reporters from 12 September, before the party contacted the intelligence service on 22 September
- Hours after calling the reports 'serious', Fréchette's written statement says no information confirming interference has been received
- CSIS says it proactively offered foreign-interference briefings to all Quebec political parties in June
- Unnamed Quebec government sources: the US Embassy approached the Fréchette government in recent months about negotiating tariffs directly with Quebec
- Foreign Affairs Minister Anand on alleged US interference in the Quebec election: 'Right now I do not have proof'
- Alaska Gov. Dunleavy at Banff forum: 'zero chance' of a US military incursion; 'Pennsylvania has a better chance of being invaded by West Virginia'
- Journal de Montréal reports Ottawa warned Quebec of possible US interference to help an independentist government
- Chak Au on C-39: 'If the problem is implementation, why is another law the answer?'
- Gabriel Hardy on C-39 s.107 labour changes: 'Workers who are fighting for higher wages are not enemies of our economy'
- Greer on CNBC: 'no urgency' for a deal with Canada; 'We're still getting what we need from them in terms of oil, gas, potash'
- Bill C-39 at second reading in the House.
- York1 withdraws its court challenge against Chatham-Kent over the Dresden waste site that Ontario's Bill 5 exempted from environmental assessment
- The White House says Trump has done more than anyone to protect Canada (Globe and Mail headline, 2026-09-24)
- Conservative deputy leader Lantsman says her party will 'scrutinize the legislation' on C-39 and seek amendments in the special legislative committee, without saying how it will vote
- Labour critic Kyle Seeback on C-39 Part 3: 'We do not trust them. We do not trust their changes'; geographic-certification changes 'are significant'
- Conservative MP Garnett Genuis says the government is 'at least saying some good things' about selling Canada's resources to the world
- Otipemisiwak Métis Government: efficiency cannot come 'at the expense of our rights'
- Carney to the NYT: he looked at the 'extreme tail risk' of US military action; 'not a base case, but it would be irresponsible not to'
- Blaine Calkins: 15 months after C-5 'not a single project has been approved by that office'
- Gérard Deltell on C-39: 'C'est bien, mais attention... le diable est dans les détails'; notes it contains the single-review idea from his bill C-375
- Poilievre, opening debate on Bill C-39 for the Conservatives, says its one-year review limit 'could be paused at any time' and pitches 'one project, one approval, one year, and better yet, one page'
- Trump: 'Canada is destroying itself by allowing millions and millions of people into the Country'; 'It is a Liberal takeover that will end very badly'
- StatCan (July 2026): Canadian-resident car trips back from the US up 12.6% year on year, but all return trips still 25.6% below July 2024
- Oil Sands Magazine: record 4.8 mb/d western crude output in Q4 2026; egress tight again by end-2028
- District of Squamish council turns down a C$142-million, 10-year payment and tax arrangement with Woodfibre LNG
- The CAQ contacts the Canadian Security Intelligence Service about the DARC texts; a meeting follows on 23 September
- Trump at the UNGA (with Zelenskyy): 'We'll continue to go with Canada, but Belarus would like to sell it for a much lower price'
- Ottawa offers Indigenous groups a collective 15% equity stake in Trans Mountain, to be financed by a low-cost government loan
- Three teams shortlisted for the ~$1B Grays Bay major-works contract (Kiewit; Ledcor/Bird; Samsung C&T/Webuild)
- AFN National Chief Woodhouse Nepinak warns Carney against 'abusing' his majority to pass C-39 and against rushing the West Coast pipeline
- British Columbia snap election called for 2026-10-24, two years early
- Lummi Nation and a Southeast Alaska tribal commission seek leave to intervene in the Gitxaała appeal at the Supreme Court of Canada
- Andrew Scheer says the Conservatives will take a careful look at Bill C-39 before taking a position
- Unions and NDP decry C-39 as an attack on labour; Ottawa says the bill is needed to build major projects
- Bill C-39, the Building Canada Strong Act, introduced by Steven MacKinnon
- White House spokesman Kush Desai keeps the "America First" line on the Canada tariffs as Republicans search for a winning message
- Innu Nation urges Newfoundland and Labrador MHAs to vote against the Churchill Falls deal
- NL House of Assembly passes a resolution to proceed with the Churchill Falls deal, 21–18
- Von der Leyen proposes making Canada the EU's first associate member; Trump calls the idea laughable and threatens tariffs on Europe
- Larry Fink (BlackRock) at the Canada Investment Summit: the announcements are "opening up the opportunities to bring forth more capital to Canada"
- Carney's Summit opening speech: 'Economic integration is being weaponised. Tariffs are used as leverage' (US not named)
- Changes to the list of Canadian products under the 50% Section 338 tariffs take effect
- Productivity Mega Deduction announced at the Canada Investment Summit: permanent immediate expensing covering more than 65% of business assets
- Canadian banks pledge nearly C$325B in financing at the Canada Investment Summit (TD C$150B over 5 years, Scotiabank over C$100B over 5 years, BMO C$70B over 10 years, CIBC C$2B, RBC nearly C$1.5B)
- Santos signs a non-binding heads of agreement to buy 1 million tonnes a year of LNG from Ksi Lisims LNG for 20 years
- Canada Revenue Agency will prioritize advance income tax ruling requests for investments of $1 billion or more
- Canada Investment Summit in Toronto, hosted by the Prime Minister's Office with CPP Investments and PSP Investments
- Fréchette's team begins passing the DARC texts to journalists, hoping for stories on the PQ and the United States
- Massachusetts utilities sue Hydro-Québec for $40 million over missed NECEC deliveries; Hydro-Québec sues them for $50 million
- CAQ pledges to table a bill 'inspired by Q5' (single government authorization) if re-elected
- Ottawa commits $405 million from the Arctic Infrastructure Fund to advance the Mackenzie Valley Highway
- Trump signs five Section 338 proclamations: bans on some Canadian alcohol, dairy and motorcycles from 29 Sep and a revised tariff list from 15 Sep
- Canadian counter-tariffs take effect on C$27.6B of US goods (about US$20B), matching the US Section 338 tariffs
- St-Pierre Plamondon: a PQ government would not tear up the Churchill Falls deal if it is good, but would check every detail
- Trump posts an AI-generated map showing Canada (and Mexico, Greenland, Iceland) as part of the United States
- Same renaming and annexation devices used on other targets: Gulf of America, 'New Mexico → New America' video, Hormuz as 'American territory'
- Trump posts a cartoon on Truth Social of himself standing over a fallen Carney on the ice, telling him: "Get up, governor."
- August 2026 Labour Force Survey: employment falls by 42,000 and unemployment holds at 6.4%
- Parti Québécois promises faster mining permits and 10% of mining royalties for host regions
- Statistics Canada: exports to countries other than the US reach a record C$25.6 billion in July 2026, 33.7% of Canada's exports
- Construction begins on BC Hydro's North Coast Transmission Line from Prince George toward Terrace
- Adm. Paparo (INDOPACOM), beside Gen. Carignan in Victoria: an order to attack Canada is 'absolutely and utterly preposterous'; 'I follow the orders of the commander-in-chief'
- Lutnick on CNBC: Ontario would be 'last out of our 51st states'; Canada tried to 'blow this up' for 'political leverage'
- Shell completes its acquisition of ARC Resources, the Montney producer that holds capacity at Cedar LNG
- US seeks an updated critical-minerals agreement with Canada; Ottawa rules out 'exclusive access'
- CPTPP enters into force between Canada and the United Kingdom on 1 September 2026
- Indian Resource Council president says Ottawa's 15% Trans Mountain equity offer should be at least 50%
- Port of Churchill ships its first grain since 2020 and loads its first-ever potash shipment, bound for Europe
August 2026 52 events
- Léger (Aug 28-31, 2026): 41% call the US an enemy (up 15 points from June 2025; ally 22%); 64% say their view would change without Trump; 74% agree with Carney's new counter-tariffs; 41% feel more proud recently
- Léger: 9% of Canadians would like Canada to become the 51st US state, down from 13% in December 2024
- Peter Navarro on NewsNation: 'You screw us on dairy, you screw us on lumber, you screw us on autos, you screw us on steel, you screw us on aluminum'
- Ontario and Marten Falls First Nation break ground on the Marten Falls Community Access Road to the Ring of Fire
- Trump calls Canada one of the 'Worst Abusers': 'I don't want Canadian anything'
- Canada Gazette notice on listing the Mackenzie Valley Highway under the Building Canada Act (comments to 2026-10-01)
- Canada's real GDP grew 0.8% in Q2 2026 (3.3% annualized), with engineering structures up 2.3% and machinery investment at its highest since Q2 2024
- Trump signs Executive Order 14422 ordering Lake Ontario renamed 'Lake America' for US federal use
- Lutnick: trucks were raised 'on Friday at 4 o'clock'; 'do I care about how the Québécois speak?... We don't care'; Carney 'manufactured' the issue
- KKR and Apollo (US) agree to put C$2.7B into Enbridge's Westcoast pipeline for 29%
- Alberta's first-quarter fiscal update turns a projected $9.4B deficit into a $2B surplus as oil prices jump
- Quebec Bill 5 lapses when the National Assembly is dissolved for the election, after stalling in committee in June
- Northern Manitoba chiefs object to the proposed Crown-Indigenous corporation meant to support the Churchill expansion
- Peter Navarro on Newsmax: 'one of the things we're trying to do with that Canadian deal is to get the Keystone Pipeline finished'
- Navarro on C-SPAN: 'every time Carney dumps on Trump, the Canadian people reward him with political support'
- Ottawa's C$7.5B tariff-support package includes a C$2B Canada Strong Diversification Fund
- BC Greens: LNG subsidies hand 'billions of taxpayer dollars' to US resource corporations
- White House release 'President Trump Is Finally Ending Canada's Free Ride': ~$50B average deficit, autos, alcohol, dairy, Gulfstream
- Finance Canada announces counter-tariffs of 15, 25 and 50% on C$27.6B of US goods, effective Sept 8, plus a C$7.5B support package
- Trump, hours after posting 'WE DON'T NEED CANADA', tells a phone rally for Oklahoma candidate Mike Mazzei: 'This country desperately needs aluminum… We get it all from Canada… and we need it badly'
- Trump on Truth Social: 'WE DON'T NEED CANADA, THEY NEED US! They do 95% of their business with the U.S.'
- Vance at a political event in Maine: 'Canada is a state—sorry, Freudian slip'; Canada 'has underinvested in its military'
- Ontario Premier Ford threatens to cut off Ontario electricity and critical minerals to the US if the trade fight worsens
- Greer: Canada "wanted more" and brought new requests after the Aug 18 tentative deal; denies any text limiting Canada's other trade deals
- Eby: US terms would reduce Canada to 'the economic equivalent of the 51st state'; US liquor stays off BC shelves until softwood duties change
- The 50% Section 338 tariffs take in Canadian plywood, MDF, particle board, mouldings, doors and pulpwood; softwood lumber is spared
- Carney's Saturday news conference: the US "asked too much and offered too little"; Canada would never give the US "exclusive access" to critical minerals
- US trade office (Greer) on X: the failed US offer "would have led to supply chain coordination on aerospace, ... critical minerals cooperation"
- US Section 338 tariffs of 50% on Canadian goods take effect; Carney says the US 'asked too much and offered too little'
- Elevra signs binding long-term spodumene supply from North American Lithium (La Corne) to Mangrove Lithium's Eastern Canada converter
- Manitoba Premier Wab Kinew puts a Port of Churchill expansion with an offshore LNG terminal at C$70-80 billion
- Carney walks away from the tentative deal after late US demands on autos, culture and Canada's other trade deals
- Poilievre in PEI: present the Americans with 'a Canadian strategic mineral and oil reserve available and tailor-made for our tariff-free allies'
- Trump ties the tentative deal to energy: the Keystone XL pipeline 'may be awoken from the grave'
- Trump announces a tentative deal with Canada, 'subject to the finalization of documents', and suspends the Section 338 tariffs until the end of 21 August
- StatCan: record C$100.6B of foreign purchases of Canadian securities in Q2 2026, mostly federal government debt
- Quebec Innu (ITUM, Matimekush-Lac John): no Churchill Falls agreement without their consent
- Ottawa announces up to $10 billion in federal financing and support for the Churchill Falls and Gull Island hydro package
- Newfoundland and Labrador Premier Wakeham drops his promised referendum on a Churchill Falls deal, citing federal involvement and US tariffs
- Churchill Falls / Gull Island Definitive Cooperation and Implementation Agreement (DCIA) signed; mostly non-binding
- Labrador Trough corridor referred to the Major Projects Office
- In-water construction begins at the Port of Montreal's new Contrecoeur container terminal
- Reported US ask in the August 2026 trade talks: a right of first refusal on Canadian critical minerals
- Brazil opens a Reciprocity Law procedure against the US 25% tariffs and requests diplomatic consultations
- Stellantis tells Unifor it intends to discuss a possible sale of the Brampton Assembly Plant
- US Army Corps of Engineers issues the permit for Enbridge's Line 5 tunnel ('a testament to President Trump's vision to ensure our nation's energy dominance')
- Ksi Lisims LNG developers award the first Prince Rupert Gas Transmission pipeline construction contract and a subsea pipeline contract
- Poilievre–Majumdar letter to Carney: stop backing down 'to one American demand after another'; proposes a critical-minerals reserve open to countries that give tariff-free access
- Poilievre: 'I don't understand the strategy of making concession after concession after concession before even getting to the negotiating table'
- Ottawa moves to list the Alberta-backed West Coast oil pipeline as a national-interest project; Alberta is the proponent and Pembina holds 10%
- Canada Gazette notice says Ottawa may list the West Coast Oil Pipeline as a national interest project under the Building Canada Act
- Conservative MP Adam Chambers calls the Canada Strong Fund a 'Sovereign Debt Fund', quoting a Montreal Economic Institute report that describes it as 'a state lending bank wearing the branding of a wealth fund'
July 2026 36 events
- Ottawa issues the decision statement approving Canada Nickel's Crawford nickel project
- EU extends the suspension of its EUR 93B countermeasures with no end date
- Enbridge postpones Mainline Optimization Phase 2 (+250,000 barrels a day, Alberta to North Dakota) because producers won't commit
- Eby, in Prince Rupert, highlights the Canada–BC agreement's guarantee of the North Coast tanker ban
- Uniper signs a binding agreement to buy 2 Mtpa of LNG from Ksi Lisims for up to 20 years, with first deliveries expected in 2032
- Pew (spring 2026): 33% of Canadians view the US favourably (54% in 2024) and 44% view China favourably, the first time China leads in the series
- Australia lands in the 12.5% Section 301 forced-labour tier; its trade minister's office calls US tariffs unjustified
- Friends of the Attawapiskat River file Federal Court judicial review of the federal Webequie Supply Road approval
- Third US–Mexico bilateral round of the CUSMA joint review held in Mexico City
- StatCan: Canadian-resident return trips from the US fell 25.4% in 2025, and spending on US visits fell C$3.3B to C$18.8B
- BC Conservatives criticize the southern pipeline route through Delta farmland, and Findlay blames Eby for blocking the northern route
- Proclamation 11045: firms that build or expand US primary aluminum smelters may import primary aluminum at half the Section 232 rate, up to the new plant's output
- Hoekstra at the PNWER summit in Edmonton: Burgum and Wright 'had to be restrained by the president' in their eagerness for Canadian oil; explaining Trump's 'we don't need your oil', he said 'we need oil, but we don't necessarily need it from Canada'
- Three Section 338 proclamations impose 50% tariffs on about US$20B of Canadian goods, including USMCA-compliant goods: the first known use of Section 338 to impose tariffs
- Angus Reid (Jul 10-14, 2026): 63% back an Alberta-B.C. pipeline; 55% pick 'sell oil to markets outside US' as a compelling argument, 51% the economy
- Port of Vancouver Gateway Strategy referred to the Major Projects Office
- Hydro-Québec says its sales outside Quebec averaged about 13¢/kWh in Q1 2026 and NECEC deliveries about 9¢
- USTR announces a 25% Section 301 tariff on Brazil (effective July 22), citing digital trade and electronic payments, preferential tariffs, anti-corruption enforcement, IP protection, ethanol and illegal deforestation
- Bank of Canada July 2026 Monetary Policy Report: business investment growth led by oil and gas, but on a lower path than before US tariffs
- TerraMarine team named preferred proponent for the Roberts Bank Terminal 2 landmass and wharf
- Pessamit members reject the Hydro-Québec and Quebec agreement in a referendum, 809 to 471
- Tsleil-Waututh Nation files Federal Court judicial review of Burrard Inlet (Second Narrows) dredging that would allow more loaded Trans Mountain tankers
- Canada Critical Minerals Accelerator launches; first deal: framework for up to C$400M from the Canada Growth Fund for Teck's Trail smelter (germanium, gallium, antimony), with planned Government of Canada offtake rights
- Energy East revival: premiers drive it, but no private company is proposing to build it
- West Coast oil pipeline: Tsawwassen First Nation says it was not consulted; project report lists 85 BC Indigenous communities for engagement
- Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey, Q2 2026: investment intentions remain at a high level and oil producers raise spending plans
- Carney names Germany's TKMS (Type 212CD) preferred supplier for up to 12 submarines, with South Korea's Hanwha Ocean in reserve
- Canada ratifies the UK's CPTPP accession protocol
- Hoekstra on CBC: the US is 'in the market for three to four million more barrels of oil per day. Canada is a logical supplier'
- Peter Ballantyne Cree Nation withdraws its judicial review after an agreement with Denison and gives its consent to Wheeler River
- Carney and Eby sign the Canada–British Columbia Cooperative Prosperity Agreement in Vancouver
- Canada refers Alberta's West Coast oil pipeline to the Major Projects Office and signs the Pathways agreement with Alberta and oil sands firms
- Conservatives (Majumdar, Kusie, Duncan) call the CUSMA review meeting 'a critical failure under Mark Carney's leadership'
- CUSMA joint review: the United States declines to renew the agreement in its current form
- Quebec copper wire exports shift away from the US after the 50% copper tariff: 99.3% US-bound in Jan-Jul 2025, 8.6% in Jan-Jul 2026
- Abacus (Jul 9-15, 2026): West Coast pipeline 62% support / 14% oppose; Northern Shield 61% / 13%
June 2026 24 events
- Alberta Court of Appeal lets Elections Alberta resume verifying signatures on Stay Free Alberta's separation petition while appeals of the quashing proceed
- Hoekstra on a possible mixed fighter fleet: 'One decision will not kill Norad'
- Jamie Dimon in Toronto plays down US-Canada trade tensions (Globe and Mail headline); earlier in June he called Carney's middle-powers idea 'a fantasy'
- Ottawa approves the Webequie Supply Road after its impact assessment; Ontario and Webequie First Nation mark the start of construction
- Canada Energy Regulator: Trans Mountain carried an average of 761,000 barrels a day in 2025, up 37% from 2024
- Ottawa starts the Building Canada Act listing process for Grays Bay Road and Port, the Mackenzie Valley Highway and the Deep Geological Repository
- Canada's provisional 10% global safeguard tariff on canned vegetables takes effect (US goods excluded)
- BC approves the Red Chris block-cave amendment with 27 binding conditions, 12 co-developed with the Tahltan
- BHP raises its Jansen Stage 2 potash cost estimate to US$6.9 billion, with first production still expected late in its 2031 financial year
- EU Council concludes the SAFE agreement with Canada
- Quebec adopts Bill 11, a regulatory-relief omnibus that gives Glencore's Horne smelter the extra time it sought on emissions
- Metlakatla and Lax Kw'alaams withdraw Federal Court challenges to Ksi Lisims LNG after benefit agreements with the project, led by Houston-based Western LNG
- Poilievre in Calgary: 'We do not need a different country in Alberta. We need different government policies in Ottawa'
- NL names members of the Churchill Falls negotiation oversight committee
- House Armed Services Committee rejects, 27-29, Keating's amendment barring defence funds for an invasion of a NATO member
- BHP signs rail agreements with CN and CPKC to carry Jansen potash to Westshore Terminals for export
- PBO's June 2026 Economic and Fiscal Outlook treats current US tariffs as permanent and projects growth of 1.1% in 2026 and 1.6% in 2027
- Rubio says Greenland remains part of Denmark 'for now', after Trump's renewed '51st State' post about Canada
- Korea-Canada energy forum in Ottawa: Korea says it has removed its 3% tariff on Canadian crude and expects to double its LNG Canada investment; much of the projected CA$100B impact rests on Hanwha's submarine bid, which later lost
- US Ambassador Hoekstra at a Quebec City mining conference: the US and Canada "can be a fortress, an economic fortress"
- Proclamation 11032: some aluminum and steel derivatives cut to 25%; USMCA-qualifying Canadian derivatives taxed on non-US content only (15% floor); primary aluminum stays at 50%
- Innu Nation postpones until further notice its second vote on the revised Hydro-Québec settlement
- DoD Office of Strategic Capital: about US$1.2B of conditional loans to Phoenix Tailings and Energy Fuels; none to a Canadian firm or project found
- Financial Times reports that the Major Projects Office told a UAE delegation Canada lacked projects ready for its pledged investment; none has been deployed
May 2026 29 events
- USTR opens a Section 301 investigation of Vietnam's intellectual-property protection and enforcement
- StatCan: C$22.0B of foreign direct investment in Q1 2026, mostly energy and mining, led by takeovers mainly from the US
- Ontario's Billy Bishop airport land-takeover law passes; province says it 'will soon designate' the airport a special economic zone
- CER overview of 2025 Canada–US energy trade: export shares by product
- Germany's SEFE agrees to buy 1 Mtpa of LNG from Ksi Lisims for up to 20 years, subject to a final sales contract (non-binding)
- Tahltan Central Government consents to the Red Chris block-cave amendment, on two conditions
- Supreme Court of Canada agrees to hear B.C.'s appeal in the Gitxaała case on DRIPA and the mineral claims regime
- Premier Smith adds a question to Alberta's 19 October 2026 referendum: remain in Canada, or start the legal process toward a binding separation referendum
- Up to C$50M in federal funding for planning and pre-construction work on the Grays Bay Road and Port
- Nouveau Monde Graphite launches construction of the Matawinie graphite mine, with Prime Minister Carney at the ground-breaking
- NL releases the IRC report: the MOU 'is not in the overall best long-term interest' of the province
- Stubbs: 'still no private sector proponent ... no selected route(s), no federal Indigenous consultation, and no permits' for a Pacific pipeline
- Pentagon 'pausing' the Permanent Joint Board on Defence, the Canada-US advisory body created in 1940
- Poilievre on the Ottawa–Alberta energy deal: Conservatives want 'a pipeline without a carbon tax, not a carbon tax without a pipeline'
- Canada and Alberta conclude an implementation agreement for their November 2025 energy and pipeline memorandum of understanding
- Honda indefinitely suspends its planned $15B electric vehicle and battery complex in Ontario
- Canada, British Columbia and LNG Canada sign an investment co-operation agreement to support a 2026 decision on Phase 2
- An Atikamekw territory guardian from Manawan states his opposition to the Matawinie mine
- Champlain Hudson Power Express (1,250 MW, Québec to New York City) enters commercial operation
- Alberta judge quashes Elections Alberta's approval of the separatist referendum petition, citing treaty rights and a failure to consult First Nations
- Keyera closes its C$5.3B purchase of Plains' Canadian natural gas liquids (NGL) business: US to Canadian ownership
- C.D. Howe Institute: of $93.6B in 2025 foreign direct investment, $43.6B was takeovers and $33.6B reinvested earnings
- Bill C-13 (UK CPTPP accession) receives Royal Assent
- Eby says he doesn't understand why Ottawa keeps pushing a new Alberta oil pipeline, and criticizes the exclusion of softwood lumber from federal tariff relief
- Citizen submission SEM-26-003 on hazardous-waste disposal at Blainville (Stablex) filed with the Commission for Environmental Cooperation
- Poilievre: 'build up a massive strategic reserve of our energy and our minerals and use that as leverage to get tariff-free access to the United States economy'
- Trump says tariffs on EU cars and trucks will rise to 25% because the EU is not complying with the Turnberry deal; on May 7 he sets a July 4 deadline
- LNG Canada partners approve 'hundreds of millions of dollars' in pre-FID funding for Phase 2
- Carney tells the Canadian Press that Canada won't use energy or critical minerals as leverage in trade talks with the US
April 2026 20 events
- Churchill Falls IRC delivers its report; the 2024 MOU expires the same day
- Trump signs a presidential permit for the Bridger Pipeline expansion, which re-uses Keystone XL assets (about 550,000 barrels a day of Canadian crude initially)
- Greer tells a visiting Canadian delegation that Canada should not use its energy and natural resources as leverage; the US wants to work with Canada on them
- Carney announces Team Canada Strong, a $6B plan to recruit and train 80,000 to 100,000 Red Seal trades workers over five years
- BC Supreme Court hearings begin on petitions challenging whether PRGT was 'substantially started'
- Poilievre on the Canada Strong Fund: 'How many corporate welfare agencies do the Trudeau-Carney liberals need to create before they learn that it doesn't work?'
- Carney announces the Canada Strong Fund, a $25 billion federal fund the government calls Canada's first national sovereign wealth fund
- Apollo (US) agrees to buy KKR's 40% of Pembina Gas Infrastructure, a western Canadian gas-processing company
- Haida, Gitga'at, Kitasoo Xai'xais and Heiltsuk nations warn pipeline companies of the 'legal and financial risks' of backing a northwest B.C. crude oil pipeline
- BC Energy Minister Adrian Dix calls reports of federal interest in a southern oil pipeline route a 'positive evolution' but remains wary
- Poilievre at the Canadian Club: 'not one single new major project, not one oil pipeline, not one port, nothing' since C-5
- Canada and Manitoba sign an impact assessment co-operation agreement to speed projects such as Port of Churchill Plus
- Eby drops the confidence-vote framing on a bill to suspend parts of DRIPA; no bill is tabled that session
- Liberals win three by-elections on 13 April 2026 and, with five MPs who crossed the floor, reach a majority of 174 of 343 seats
- Yukon and federal governments approve the Kudz Ze Kayah mine again despite Kaska opposition, saying 'consent may not always be achievable'
- Canada Infrastructure Bank $1.16B loan for the Contrecoeur container terminal
- Ecojustice files constitutional challenge to Ontario's special-economic-zone law for Wildlands League, Environmental Defence, Friends of the Earth Canada and Democracy Watch
- Jonah Goldberg (AEI), Los Angeles Times column: tariffs on allies are "forcing many countries to pursue trade agreements with China"
- Trans Mountain holds a binding open season (7 April to 2 June 2026) to sign more long-term firm shipping contracts on its pipeline
- US Section 232 tariffs on steel, aluminum and copper begin to apply to the full value of imported articles and their derivatives, at rates of 10% to 50%
March 2026 18 events
- USTR 2026 National Trade Estimate: US goods deficit with Canada $46.4B in 2025 (down 25.1%); no complaint about Canadian oil, minerals, permitting or pipelines
- Ontario's Species Conservation Act (replacing the repealed Endangered Species Act) comes into force
- Heather Conley (AEI) testifies to two House Homeland Security subcommittees that Canada committed US$29B to its Arctic military presence in response to Trump's sovereignty challenge
- US Treasury removes Belaruskali from the sanctions list, easing sanctions on Belarus's potash sector
- Government of Canada and Nouveau Monde Graphite sign an updated binding term sheet: Canada to buy 30,000 t/yr of graphite concentrate for 7 years, take-or-pay, at a fixed North American price
- Ontario says it will take ownership of city-owned lands at Toronto's Billy Bishop airport and declare the airport a special economic zone
- Coeur Mining (US) completes its all-stock acquisition of New Gold (about US$7B at announcement)
- Rio Tinto slows construction of the Nemaska Lithium hydroxide plant at Bécancour for 2026; first production 2028
- Grays Bay Road and Port referred to the Major Projects Office
- USTR opens Section 301 excess-capacity investigations into 16 economies, including China, the EU, Mexico, Japan, Switzerland, Vietnam and India; Canada is not among them
- CNSC licenses NexGen to prepare the site for and build its Rook I uranium mine and mill in Saskatchewan, valid to 31 March 2036
- Ford says the Ring of Fire doesn't need Bill 5: 'We don't need it when you have great partners'
- Rio Tinto to build a gallium-extraction pilot plant at Complexe Jonquière, with up to C$18.95M from Ottawa
- Cameco signs a long-term uranium supply agreement with India: about 22 million pounds over 2027-2035, about C$2.6B
- Ontario's C$1B plan to finish the Ring of Fire roads about five years early
- Grays Bay Road and Port impact statement submitted to the Nunavut Impact Review Board
- Rio Tinto's AP60 expansion pours first hot metal (March 2026); the last Arvida potlines close in June 2026, leaving Quebec capacity roughly unchanged
- Nisga'a members (Cecil Mercer, Stephen Nyce) sue the Nisga'a Nation over its PRGT / Ksi Lisims partnership
February 2026 20 events
- US and Israeli strikes on Iran begin on 28 February 2026; shipping through the Strait of Hormuz largely stops and Brent passes US$100 on 12 March
- US think tank DARC blog post proposes 'covert support for PQ ahead of the election'
- Statistics Canada: foreign direct investment in Canada reached $96.8 billion in 2025, the highest since 2007
- IEEPA tariffs stop being collected and a temporary 10% global surcharge under Section 122 takes effect
- Parti Québécois wins the Chicoutimi provincial by-election, its fourth straight by-election win
- After the Supreme Court strikes down his emergency tariffs, Trump calls the Court's Democrats 'a Disgrace to our Nation' and proclaims a 10% global Section 122 surcharge (Proclamation 11012) the same day
- Whitefish Lake, Frog Lake and Beaver Lake Cree challenge the Canada–Alberta energy MOU and Pathways CCS in Federal Court (Onion Lake and Kehewin in separate cases)
- Statistics Canada: the US share of Canada's goods exports fell to 71.7% in 2025, from 75.9% in 2024
- Federal government launches a market-sounding study on the long-term growth of Port of Churchill Plus
- Canadian Nuclear Safety Commission issues a construction licence for Denison's Wheeler River (Phoenix in-situ recovery) uranium project, valid to February 2031
- StatCan: most of 2025's foreign 'selling' of Canadian stocks was shares retired in takeovers and buybacks
- Quebec Bill 5 adopted in principle 'sur division' (no recorded tally)
- Canada signs the Canada-EU agreement to join the EU's SAFE defence-procurement programme at the Munich Security Conference
- CN and CPKC cut 2026 capital budgets after capacity work
- Vance at the Critical Minerals Ministerial: 'a preferential trade zone for critical minerals, protected from external disruptions through enforceable price floors'
- US Critical Minerals Ministerial launches FORGE and signs 11 bilateral minerals frameworks; Canada attends but holds off on signing
- Ovintiv (US) closes its US$2.7B acquisition of NuVista Energy, an Alberta Montney producer
- After the Supreme Court ruling, India faces the 10% global rate and postpones its delegation to Washington
- US Embassy says the PQ requested a State Department meeting in Washington for early March 2026, which did not take place; the PQ says it only told the US consulate of a possible trip
- Denison takes its final investment decision on the Phoenix in-situ recovery (ISR) uranium project at Wheeler River
January 2026 27 events
- Tahltan Central Government consents to Eskay Creek and BC issues the mine's assessment certificate with 38 binding conditions
- Hoekstra at Luke AFB: 'NORAD would have to be altered' if Canada drops the F-35; asked about the US as a threat: 'That's crazy. We're not a threat.'
- Trump says he will raise Korea's tariff from 15% to 25% because its legislature has not approved the deal
- Parti Québécois convention votes down a resolution to bar oil and gas pipelines
- Trump threatens a 100% tariff on all Canadian goods if Canada makes a deal with China, warning against a 'Drop Off Port' for Chinese goods
- Treasury Secretary Bessent calls Alberta 'a natural partner for the U.S.': 'People want sovereignty'
- Trump at Davos: 'I don't want to use force. I won't use force' on Greenland; to Carney: 'He wasn't so grateful'
- Trump drops the Greenland tariff threat after agreeing a 'framework of a future deal' with NATO's Rutte at Davos
- Globe: the CAF has modelled a hypothetical US invasion (first time in a century); insurgency-style response; an end to NORAD cooperation would be among the warning signs
- BHP raises the cost of Jansen Stage 1 to US$8.4B (US$5.7B at approval in 2021); first production mid-2027
- BC Hydro MOU to supply up to 600 MW to Ksi Lisims LNG
- NBC News: US officials say Trump's Canada push is about the Arctic, 'to stop Russia and China'; Trump on Carney's China deal: 'That's what he should be doing'
- Trump threatens 8 European countries, including the UK, with a 10% tariff from Feb 1, rising to 25% on June 1, over Greenland
- Abacus (Jan 9-14, 2026): 62% back a West Coast pipeline (18% opposed); every negative condition tested cuts support to 40-46%, including 45% if the US got more oil from Venezuela
- New England Clean Energy Connect (NECEC, a 1,200 MW high-voltage direct current line from Quebec to New England) enters commercial operation
- Canada and China agree to let up to 49,000 Chinese EVs into Canada at a 6.1% tariff, while China cuts its canola seed tariff to about 15%
- European Commission approves a €200 million German State aid scheme for renewable hydrogen produced in Canada, to be matched by €200 million from Canada
- H.R. 7016 'No Funds for NATO Invasion Act' introduced (Keating, Bacon, Hoyer, Boyle +23): bars funds and any officer from executing an invasion of a NATO member
- White House (Leavitt): for Greenland, 'utilizing the U.S. Military is always an option at the Commander in Chief's disposal'
- A Wolastoqey chief says the Nations were misled when they signed the 2017 Sisson agreement
- Sturgeon Lake Cree Nation and Mikisew Cree First Nation go to court over Alberta's referendum laws and the separation petition; Sturgeon Lake's injunction bid is denied
- US military strikes Caracas and captures Maduro (Operation Absolute Resolve)
- Mexico's tariffs of 5-50% on 1,463 lines from countries without a trade agreement with Mexico (including China) take effect (about US$52B, 8.6% of imports)
- Alberta awards a C$360,000 sole-source contract for advice on its West Coast oil pipeline strategy
- Free Trade and Labour Mobility in Canada Act (Part 1 of Bill C-5) and its regulations come into force
- DFC closes a US$600M investment in the Orion Critical Mineral Consortium
- Financial Times reports State Department meetings with Alberta separatists; Treasury Secretary Bessent calls Alberta a 'natural partner'
2026 (month not recorded) 1 event
December 2025 22 events
- Canada and the US announce formal CUSMA-review talks starting in mid-January 2026
- DFC (US International Development Finance Corporation) reauthorization lets it invest in wealthy countries such as Canada, including in critical minerals
- EIG's MidOcean Energy completes its purchase of 20% of the partnership holding Petronas's 25% of LNG Canada (~5% effective)
- Greer's USMCA review statement to House Ways and Means and Senate Finance lists US issues with Canada and proposes a regional 'Critical Minerals Marketplace'
- Alberta Prosperity Project leaders say they held a third meeting with State Department officials on 16 December 2025
- Ovintiv (US) signs a 12-year deal for 0.5 million tonnes a year of Pembina's capacity at Haisla-majority-owned Cedar LNG
- Newfoundland and Labrador launches an independent review of the 2024 Churchill Falls MOU (Huskilson, Holburn, Wilson)
- Korea Zinc announces a US$1.9B share sale to a US-government-controlled joint venture (Defense Department 40% of the venture; about 10% of Korea Zinc) to fund a Tennessee smelter
- US envoy John Coale announces the US is lifting sanctions on Belarusian potash, as Belarus frees 123 prisoners
- After a US threat of 5% tariffs, Mexico agrees to release 202,000 acre-feet of water under the 1944 treaty; the US keeps the tariff threat in reserve
- Mexico's Congress approves tariffs of up to 50% on about 1,400 lines from countries without a trade agreement with Mexico, including China
- Quebec Bill 5 (priority projects of national scope, single authorization) tabled by Eric Girard
- Commons defeats Conservative motion backing a West Coast pipeline in the Canada–Alberta MOU's wording; only Conservatives vote yes
- US Defense Department obligates the second US$10M of its US$20M Defense Production Act award to Electra's Ontario cobalt refinery
- BC ministerial order exempts BC Hydro from the Utilities Commission certificate (CPCN) for the NCTL
- Trump threatens Mexico with a 5% tariff unless it releases water owed under the 1944 Water Treaty
- Trump threatens 'very severe tariffs' on Canadian fertilizer if needed
- BC Court of Appeal rules in the Gitxaała case that BC's Declaration Act brings UNDRIP into BC law 'with immediate legal effect'
- Gitanyow Hereditary Chiefs ask banks not to finance Ksi Lisims LNG
- Algoma Steel issues layoff notices to 1,005 unionized workers in Sault Ste. Marie, effective March 23, 2026
- Canada concludes negotiations to join the EU's €150B SAFE defence-loan program, as the only non-European participant.
- Poilievre: 'Of course I would consult … but we are going to build a pipeline when I am prime minister'
November 2025 16 events
- BC Bill 31 receives Royal Assent
- Poilievre on the Canada–Alberta MOU: a Conservative government 'would approve a pipeline to the Pacific without a carbon tax, without delay, without excuses'
- Canada–Alberta MOU sets a path to a bitumen pipeline of at least 1 million barrels a day to Asian markets, adjusting the tanker ban if necessary
- Canada cuts steel tariff-rate quotas and announces a 25% tariff on steel derivatives, in force Dec 26.
- DARC post 'The Trump Corollary' says the US government 'should seriously consider support for Canadian separatist movements'
- US exempts Brazilian beef, coffee, cocoa, fruit and other farm goods (238 tariff subheadings) from the 40% Brazil tariff, retroactive to Nov 13
- Elenore Sturko introduces Bill M 223, Interpretation Amendment Act (No. 2), 2025, to repeal section 8.1 of BC's Interpretation Act (the UN Declaration consistency rule)
- House of Commons approves the budgetary policy of the government (Budget 2025) by 170 votes to 168; Conservatives vote no
- Germany signs a contract, projected to exceed $1 billion, for Lockheed Martin Canada's CMS 330 combat management system for the German Navy
- Enbridge takes its final investment decision on Mainline Optimization Phase 1 (+150,000 b/d) and a Flanagan South expansion (+100,000 b/d), US$1.4B
- After Sisson is added to the federal major-projects list, Wolastoqey chiefs say they will insist on proper processes and respect for their rights
- Second tranche of projects referred to the Major Projects Office (over C$56B), including Ksi Lisims LNG and the North Coast Transmission Line
- Budget 2025 sets a goal to double non-US exports and budgets tariff-response funds
- Budget 2025 introduces a "Productivity Super-Deduction" that Finance says cuts Canada's marginal effective tax rate from 15.6% to 13.2%
- Vulcan Elements announces a US$620M Pentagon Office of Strategic Capital loan (plus US$80M to ReElement); Department of War to get warrants, Commerce US$50M of Vulcan equity
- Nutrien names Longview, Washington, as its preferred site for a new 5-6 million tonne-a-year potash export terminal, rather than a Canadian port
October 2025 21 events
- Peter Ballantyne Cree Nation seeks judicial review of Saskatchewan's environmental approval of Denison's Wheeler River project
- Ecojustice's T3010 for fiscal 2025 reports C$1.48M from sources outside Canada, 13% of revenue, up from C$1.06M (9%) a year earlier
- Canada Growth Fund invests C$25M to raise Rio Tinto's Sorel-Tracy scandium capacity to 9 t/yr
- G7 Critical Minerals Production Alliance: Canada announces 26 investments, partnerships and measures meant to unlock C$6.4B of critical-minerals projects, with partners from nine countries including the US
- Sunoco LP (US) completes its takeover of Parkland, the Calgary fuel refiner and retailer, in a deal valued at about US$9.1B including debt
- Cameco (49% owner of Westinghouse) and Brookfield sign a binding term sheet with the US government for at least US$80B of new Westinghouse reactors in the US
- Derek Scissors (AEI), "Trump: I'll Work with China, Not Canada": tariffs on Canada "over nothing"
- Trump says "ALL TRADE NEGOTIATIONS WITH CANADA ARE HEREBY TERMINATED" over an Ontario TV ad using Ronald Reagan's 1987 anti-tariff speech
- Carney sets a goal to double Canada's non-US exports over the next decade
- Energy Minister Hodgson calls US government stakes in two Vancouver-based miners "capitalism in action"; Canada unlikely to object
- GM and POSCO pause the second phase of their Bécancour cathode-material plant (Ultium CAM)
- Newfoundland and Labrador election: Progressive Conservatives under Tony Wakeham win a majority, 21 of 40 seats
- US Section 232 wood tariffs take effect: 10% on softwood lumber and 25% on upholstered furniture, kitchen cabinets and vanities, with no CUSMA exemption
- Trump threatens an extra 100% tariff on China from Nov 1 and says there 'seems to be no reason' to meet Xi (the meeting went ahead)
- Poilievre welcomes renewed US interest in Keystone XL and calls for pipelines 'West to East and to our Western shores to open new markets in Asia'
- Carney's second White House visit: Trump predicts he will leave "very happy", but no tariff relief; Carney pitches Keystone XL
- US Department of War signs a letter of intent to invest US$35.6M in Trilogy Metals (about 10% of the company, plus rights to 12.3M more shares at US$0.01)
- Angus Reid (Oct 7-9, 2025): 59% back a north-coast oil pipeline (BC 56%); 57% now put the economy first
- First Innu Nation ratification vote on the Hydro-Québec settlement fails to reach the 50% turnout required
- Metlakatla First Nation and Lax Kw'alaams Band file Federal Court challenges to the federal approval of Ksi Lisims LNG
- Radio-Canada Enquête: US waste was 17% of Stablex's 2024 inputs but about 50% of revenue
September 2025 8 events
- US Department of Energy takes penny warrants for 5% of Lithium Americas and 5% of the Thacker Pass joint venture in restructuring its US$2.23B loan
- Hoekstra, on The Hub's Alberta Edge podcast: if Canada says no on security, the US will go in a different direction; without Canada, that would be harder and costlier
- Alberta Prosperity Project leaders say they held a second meeting with State Department officials on 29 September 2025
- Ksi Lisims LNG receives its environmental assessment approvals
- First five projects referred to the Major Projects Office (over C$60B), including LNG Canada Phase 2
- Executive Order 14346 widens the list of goods exempt from the 'reciprocal' tariffs for all countries (bullion, more critical minerals, some pharmaceutical inputs), effective September 8, 2025; energy stays exempt
- Quebec declares the Northvolt battery plant partnership dead and writes off its $270 million investment
- Canada removes most of its counter-tariffs on US goods: the full Phase 1 list (about C$30.3B of annual imports) and the non-steel, non-aluminum goods (about C$14.4B)
August 2025 10 events
- BC Supreme Court dismisses the Gitanyow Hereditary Chiefs' petition against the Ksi Lisims LNG assessment
- Prime Minister Carney launches the federal Major Projects Office, headquartered in Calgary, with former Trans Mountain CEO Dawn Farrell at its head
- US raises tariffs on many Indian goods to 50% over India's purchases of Russian oil
- Arctic Gateway Group and Fednav sign an MOU on year-round shipping at Churchill
- After a Carney–Trump call on Aug 21, Carney announces Canada will remove its counter-tariffs on CUSMA-compliant US goods from Sep 1.
- Conservative MP Greg McLean calls Bill C-5 a temporary work-around of existing laws and says Conservative amendments improved it
- DARC post 'Our Canadian Problem' says the US 'could support the Alberta and Quebec separatist movements'
- Revised country-specific 'reciprocal' tariff rates take effect for other US trading partners
- NexGen signs a uranium offtake with an unnamed "major US utility": 1 million lb a year for five years from the first year of Rook I production
- EU suspends its EUR 93B package of countermeasures against US tariffs
July 2025 11 events
- Canada imposes a 25% surtax on steel and aluminum goods containing aluminum smelted or cast in China
- US sets a 39% tariff on Switzerland (effective Aug 7) although a deal had seemed imminent; Trump later says President Keller-Sutter 'didn't want to listen'
- Executive Order 14323 adds a 40% IEEPA tariff on Brazil (50% with the 10% baseline, effective 2025-08-06), with many exemptions
- US Embassy Ottawa posts its FY25 public-diplomacy grants notice (awards of US$15,000–100,000; programs 'must align with U.S. administration priorities')
- First Nations file a constitutional challenge to Ontario's Bill 5 (special economic zones) and federal Bill C-5 in the Ontario Superior Court, seeking C$100M and injunctions
- Trump letter threatens Brazil with 50% from August 1, citing the prosecution of Bolsonaro
- Trump begins a wave of about 25 tariff letters (July 7-12, 2025): Japan and South Korea first on July 7, Brazil on July 9, Canada on July 10, the EU and Mexico on July 12
- Study of US seizure data: 97-99% of fentanyl in large US land-border seizures from 2013 to 2024 came from Mexico
- A First Nations alliance buys 12.5% of Enbridge's Westcoast gas pipeline for about C$715M, backed by a C$400M federal loan guarantee
- BC's Bill 14 comes into force, exempting the North Coast Transmission Line from the Environmental Assessment Act
- Alcoa and Rio Tinto redirect Canadian primary aluminum to customers outside the US after the 50% tariff
June 2025 20 events
- LNG Canada ships its first cargo from Kitimat, BC, bound for Asia
- Canada rescinds its digital services tax and halts the 30 June collection "to advance broader trade negotiations with the United States"
- Canada sets tariff-rate quotas on steel imports from countries without a free trade agreement
- Trump says the US is "terminating ALL discussions on Trade with Canada, effective immediately" over Canada's digital services tax
- Senate passes Bill C-5 without amendment after defeating a free, prior and informed consent amendment by 48 votes to 28
- Bill C-5, the One Canadian Economy Act, including the Building Canada Act for national-interest projects, receives Royal Assent
- Dan Muys: 'Bill C-5 takes a small step forward... we will not stop fighting for real change'
- C-5 Part 1 (internal-trade act) passes third reading 335–1; Elizabeth May the only no
- House of Commons passes Part 2 of Bill C-5, the Building Canada Act, at third reading by 306 votes to 31, with Conservatives voting in favour
- House unanimously adopts a Bloc Québécois amendment shielding the Canada Labour Code from Bill C-5's exemption powers, 337–0
- Conservatives say their C-5 amendment stops ministers bypassing the Lobbying Act and Conflict of Interest Act
- Bill C-5 passes second reading in the House of Commons, 304–29, with no Conservative votes against
- House adopts the government motion setting an expedited timetable for Bill C-5, 305–30, with Conservative support
- Heritage Foundation commentary by Diana Furchtgott-Roth and MEI's Daniel Dufort urges the G7 to commit to streamlined permitting and a 'rapid expansion of energy infrastructure'
- US Export-Import Bank (EXIM) letter of interest for US$172M to Nouveau Monde Graphite (Matawinie/Bécancour, Quebec), part of over US$1B in letters of interest
- Bill C-5, the One Canadian Economy Act, is introduced, aiming to cut decisions on major projects from five years to two
- Library of Parliament: 2024 potash exports 22.8 Mt, about 53% to the US
- Ontario's Bill 5 (Protect Ontario by Unleashing our Economy Act) receives Royal Assent: special economic zones and faster approvals for mining and energy projects
- Hydro-Québec and the Innu Nation sign a settlement MOU on the 2020 $4B claim
- US Section 232 tariffs on steel and aluminum double from 25% to 50% on 4 June 2025 for all countries except the UK
May 2025 16 events
- BC's Infrastructure Projects Act (Bill 15) receives Royal Assent: broad fast-tracking powers that are almost entirely not yet in force
- Nisga'a Lisims Government backs BC's fast-track Bills 14 and 15, citing 'the new trade policies of the United States'
- BC Bills 14 and 15 pass third reading 46-46 on the Speaker's casting vote
- US miner Newmont announces a C$8M community investment for three Tahltan communities at the Red Chris mine
- Trump: EU talks 'going nowhere'; threatens a 50% tariff from 1 June (delayed to 9 July after a call with von der Leyen on 25 May)
- Bipartisan Senate resolution (S.Res.239) reaffirming the US-Canada partnership backs 'greater cross-border energy infrastructure'
- TotalEnergies signs a 20-year agreement to buy 2 million tonnes a year of LNG from Ksi Lisims LNG and takes 5% of developer Western LNG
- Ontario's 2025 budget commits $500 million to create a new Critical Minerals Processing Fund
- Mike Wilson resigns from the Liberal-era Churchill Falls MOU review panel
- India notifies the WTO of proposed retaliation over US Section 232 metals tariffs (US$1.91B in duties); a second notice on autos follows (dated 3 July, circulated 4 July)
- Hoekstra on the 51st-state talk: 'That's behind us. It was never a barrier'
- BC Greens oppose Bill 15 (Infrastructure Projects Act)
- Ontario approves construction of the first small modular reactor at Darlington (four-unit project, C$20.9 billion)
- At an AEI panel on Canada's election, Henry Olsen lists the quickest ways he sees for Canada to cut the US trade deficit, none of them resources; Alberta-born Jamie Tronnes says the crisis "might just be the kick in the butt that we need"
- Trump (Meet the Press): force against Canada 'highly unlikely... I just don't see it'; does not rule it out for Greenland
- US Department of Defense awards US$15M under Defense Production Act Title III to Northcliff Resources (Sisson tungsten-molybdenum project, New Brunswick); NRCan adds up to C$8.2M
April 2025 17 events
- US and Ukraine sign minerals agreement creating a joint Reconstruction Investment Fund with preferential investment and offtake rights
- CFR (Alden and Manak): Carney has promised to diversify Canada's trade with new infrastructure, but Canada's alternatives to the US are few
- Federal election: Carney's Liberals win 169 of 343 seats, three short of a majority, after a campaign dominated by Trump's tariffs and annexation talk
- Alberta Prosperity Project leaders say they held the first of three meetings with State Department officials on 22 April 2025
- Ontario introduces Bill 5, whose Special Economic Zones Act would let cabinet exempt 'trusted proponents' and designated projects in special economic zones from provincial laws, regulations and municipal by-laws
- Army Corps gives the Enbridge Line 5 tunnel emergency permitting under the Jan 2025 energy-emergency EO
- Canada grants six months of tariff relief on inputs, a remission framework for automakers producing in Canada, and a loan facility
- Bank CEOs back Canadian resource expansion during the 2025 election campaign
- EU suspends its EUR 21B countermeasures for 90 days to allow negotiations
- US raises China reciprocal tariff to 125% (145% cumulative); China matches up to 125%
- US announces a 90-day pause on country-specific reciprocal rates for other countries
- EU member states approve countermeasures on about €21B of US goods (suspended for 90 days on 14 April)
- Canada's auto counter-tariff takes effect.
- Poilievre pledges 'One and Done' approvals for resource projects, with a one-year maximum and a six-month target, and names ten projects to accelerate
- Stephen Miran, chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, lists five ideas for how other countries could share the burden; none is resource development
- Quebec Superior Court refuses the injunction sought by Blainville and the CMM against Stablex Cell 6
- Robert Lighthizer tells a conservative conference in Ottawa that Canada should spend more on defence, side with the US on China and negotiate a USMCA without Mexico
March 2025 17 events
- CSIS (Hernandez-Roy): Canada is already talking about coastal export infrastructure instead of north-south links; if built, the US could lose its cheap heavy crude
- Quebec Decree 515-2025 authorizes Stablex Cell 6 with 24 conditions
- Quebec adopts Bill 93 under closure, taking the Stablex landfill expansion site from Blainville and exempting it from city, regional county and Montreal-area zoning rules
- The Montreal Metropolitan Community removes a 7.2-hectare parcel from its protected wetlands as an alternative site for Stablex
- NBC News: Trump's aides believe he is completely serious about making Canada the 51st state; Trump says 'we don't need their lumber, we don't need their energy'
- Ambassador nominee Hoekstra, in written answers to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, defines tariff 'victory' as action on illegal immigration and drugs
- Canada adds 25% counter-tariffs on C$29.8B of US steel, aluminum and other goods.
- At CERAWeek (Houston), Alberta Premier Smith offers "Fortress North America" (2 million more barrels a day of pipeline exports to the US) while Alberta's energy minister talks diversification
- ARC Resources agrees to sell all its Cedar LNG output (about 1.5 million tonnes a year) to ExxonMobil LNG Asia Pacific at international LNG prices
- Ontario puts a 25% surcharge on electricity exported to three US states; after Trump threatens 50% steel and aluminum tariffs, both back down
- Arthur Herman (Hudson Institute) makes 'The Case for a US-Canada Superstate', saying a North American energy bloc 'would dominate global markets'
- Executive Order 14232 exempts USMCA-qualifying Mexican goods from the fentanyl tariff and cuts the rate on other potash to 10%, the same day as the matching Canada order
- Executive Order 14231 exempts USMCA-compliant Canadian goods from the fentanyl tariffs from 7 March and cuts the rate on Canadian potash to 10%
- US raises the China fentanyl tariff to 20%; China adds 10-15% tariffs on US farm goods from 10 March
- Provincial liquor boards, including Ontario's LCBO and Quebec's SAQ, pull US alcohol from their shelves
- Poilievre promises to green-light all federal Ring of Fire permits within six months and $1B over three years for the road
- Ottawa announces $175M over five years for Hudson Bay Railway operations and Port of Churchill pre-development
February 2025 18 events
- Bessent says Mexico has proposed matching US tariffs on China and urges Canada to do the same for a 'Fortress North America'
- Quebec tables Bill 93 to transfer the Blainville property to the State for lease to Stablex
- Bipartisan House resolution (H.Res.152) reaffirming the US-Canada partnership backs 'greater cross-border energy infrastructure'
- Colin Dueck (AEI) argues that 51st-state talk fuels Canadian anti-Americanism and helps the Liberals, and that a Conservative government would 'unleash oil and gas production'
- Trump on Truth Social: the Keystone XL company "should come back… and get it built — NOW!"; "Easy approvals, almost immediate start!"
- Same US funding tools used for non-Canadian firms: IperionX (DoD US$47.1M), Guardian Metal (DPA US$6.2M), Northern Minerals and Latrobe Magnesium (EXIM letters of interest)
- NSA Mike Waltz (Meet the Press): 'I don't think there's any plans to invade Canada'
- Energy Secretary Wright, asked on CNBC whether Canada could ship its oil west to sell overseas, says new pipeline capacity is hard to build and the existing West Coast route is small
- USTR nominee Greer's written answers to senators: access to critical minerals will be "a consideration" in sector deals; sidesteps whether attacks on Canada and Mexico hurt minerals cooperation
- China retaliates: 15% on US coal and LNG, 10% on crude oil, farm machinery and some vehicles (effective 2025-02-10)
- US IEEPA fentanyl tariff of 10% on China takes effect
- TC Energy CEO François Poirier's WSJ op-ed "How to Make North American Energy Great Again" pitches continental energy integration
- Executive Order 14194 puts a 25% IEEPA tariff on all Mexican goods, with no lower rate for energy (unlike Canada's EO 14193)
- A White House official says the lower 10% tariff on Canadian energy (instead of 25%) is meant to limit the impact on US gasoline and home-heating prices
- Canada announces 25% counter-tariffs on C$155B of US goods: C$30B first, then C$125B
- Executive Order 14193 imposes a 25% tariff on Canadian goods and 10% on Canadian energy, citing "the failure of Canada to do more" on drugs
- Boycott polls, 2025: Abacus (Feb 20-25) 71% intend to avoid US travel for at least six months; Research Co. (May 25-27) 60% avoid US goods when an alternative exists
- Angus Reid (Feb 2-3, 2025): 'very proud' to be Canadian rises from 34% (Dec 2024) to 44%; deep emotional attachment 49% to 59%
January 2025 14 events
- Atlantic Council (Goldwyn and Webster): energy tariffs on Canada and Mexico could speed US energy partners' diversification away from the US, including toward China
- Ford calls a snap Ontario election, seeking a "strong, stable, four-year mandate" to fight Trump's threatened tariffs
- CSIS (Baskaran): tariffs on Canadian minerals would bring Canadian retaliation, send Canadian buyers of US minerals to other suppliers and push US firms toward Chinese-controlled nickel
- Trump's Davos video address: Canada "can always become a state" and would then face no tariffs
- Trump at Davos: '$200 billion or $250 billion deficit'; 'We don't need their oil and gas'
- Inauguration.
- Blackstone anchors a US$150M private placement in Ksi Lisims developer Western LNG, with rights to invest equity at the final investment decision
- Hal Brands (AEI; Bloomberg op-ed): the hemisphere matters as a source of vital resources, but coercion would make the US "just another predatory power"
- Trump posts a map of the US and Canada labelled "United States", captioned "Oh Canada!", and a second map covered by the US flag
- At Mar-a-Lago, Trump rules out military force but says he would use "economic force" to make Canada a state.
- Trump on Trudeau's resignation: "Many people in Canada LOVE being the 51st State"
- Poilievre urges Trump to approve the Keystone pipeline and not block 'underpriced Canadian energy'
- Angus Reid (Jan 24-27, 2025): Energy East support 65% (Quebec 47%), up from 58% (Quebec 33%) in 2019; Northern Gateway 54%
- January 2025 polls on joining the US: Angus Reid 10%, Ipsos 20%, Abacus 22% ('open or want'), YouGov 15%; Alberta highest at about 18%. US polls Jan-Feb 2025: 15-41% of Americans back annexation
2025 (month not recorded) 3 events
- Quebec primary aluminum shipments to the US fall 25% in 2025 (1.76 Mt vs 2.36 Mt) as metal is diverted to Europe
- Hydro-Québec was a net buyer of about 3.4 TWh on outside markets in 2025, a third straight low-runoff year (a net seller of about 5.7 TWh in 2024)
- 2025 crude imports: 506 kb/d, 75.6% from the US; Quebec's all from the US
December 2024 9 events
- Trump's Christmas posts call Trudeau "governor"; as the 51st State, Canadians' taxes "would be cut by more than 60%"
- NRCan approves up to C$10M from the Critical Minerals Infrastructure Fund for Torngat Metals' Strange Lake rare-earths project
- Trump: "Many Canadians want Canada to become the 51st State"
- Trump on Freeland's resignation: "The Great State of Canada is stunned" ... "She will not be missed!!!"
- Manawan signs a confidential impact and benefit agreement with Nouveau Monde Graphite
- Innu Nation Grand Chief signs the 2024 Churchill Falls MOU and calls it historic
- Hydro-Québec and NL Hydro sign a largely non-binding memorandum of understanding on Churchill Falls and Gull Island
- Trump posts about dinner with "Governor Justin Trudeau of the Great State of Canada"
- Canadian Natural completes its US$6.5B purchase of Chevron's 20% oil sands stake and Duvernay assets: US to Canadian ownership
November 2024 6 events
- Trudeau dines with Trump at Mar-a-Lago; Trump jokes that Canada could become the 51st state
- AFPM (US refiners): American refiners depend on Canadian and Mexican crude; asks for energy to be excluded from tariffs
- Trump on Truth Social: on January 20 he will charge Mexico and Canada "a 25% Tariff on ALL products" until "Drugs, in particular Fentanyl…
- Coastal GasLink declared commercially in service
- Hudson Institute and the Macdonald-Laurier Institute hold a "North American Energy Preeminence Forum": Canada and the US "can become energy independent" and help allies
- Stephen Miran publishes "A User's Guide to Restructuring the Global Trading System" (Hudson Bay Capital)
October 2024 3 events
- Gitanyow Hereditary Chiefs file judicial review of the Ksi Lisims LNG environmental assessment
- Canada's 100% surtax on Chinese-made EVs takes effect, matching the US tariff (background to the 2026 Canada–China deal)
- During the campaign Trump calls "tariff" the "most beautiful word in the dictionary" (Economic Club of Chicago).
August 2024 1 event
June 2024 1 event
May 2024 3 events
- US Department of Defense grants US$8.35M to Lomiko Metals for La Loutre graphite (Quebec); Natural Resources Canada adds C$4.9M
- US Defense Department grants US$6.38M under the Defense Production Act to Fortune Minerals (NICO project, Northwest Territories and Alberta); Natural Resources Canada adds up to C$7.5M
- The Trans Mountain expansion enters commercial service, nearly tripling the pipeline's capacity
January 2024 1 event
September 2023 1 event
August 2023 1 event
June 2023 1 event
April 2023 2 events
March 2023 2 events
February 2023 1 event
2023 (month not recorded) 1 event
November 2022 2 events
May 2022 1 event
November 2021 1 event
October 2021 1 event
April 2021 1 event
February 2021 2 events
December 2020 1 event
October 2020 1 event
April 2020 1 event
February 2020 1 event
January 2020 3 events
October 2019 1 event
June 2019 1 event
May 2019 1 event
2019 (month not recorded) 1 event
November 2018 2 events
October 2018 1 event
August 2018 2 events
June 2018 1 event
May 2018 1 event
April 2018 2 events
March 2018 1 event
December 2017 1 event
October 2017 1 event
September 2017 1 event
April 2017 1 event
March 2017 1 event
February 2017 2 events
January 2017 1 event
November 2016 1 event
October 2016 1 event
August 2016 1 event
June 2016 1 event
April 2016 2 events
March 2016 1 event
October 2015 1 event
2015 (month not recorded) 1 event
No events match these filters.