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EventAction

Champlain Hudson Power Express (1,250 MW, Québec to New York City) enters commercial operation

About 10.4 TWh a year under a 25-year contract between Hydro-Quebec and NYSERDA (New York State Energy Research and Development Authority), which took effect on June 1, 2026. Commercial operation came ahead of the planned June start (HVDC World; project release).

Date
Kind
Other
Where
International
Evidence
Action: Something was done: a law switched on, a tariff imposed, money committed. How evidence is weighed
Who
Hydro-Québec (counterparty); NYSERDA (counterparty)

Sources

Projects

Claims that rest on this event

How it bears on the outcome

ExplanationFitWhy
O0 No meaningful speed-upNeutral weakA long-planned line finishing slightly early says little about a recent speed-up.
O1 Faster, but the extra output goes mostly elsewhereAgainst weakAbout 10.4 TWh a year of new exports to New York is somewhat awkward for US-bound volumes staying flat, though it predates the pressure.
O2 Faster, and more volume reaches the US (this level or higher)Fits weakNew power exports to New York are consistent with more volume reaching the US, but the project was contracted well before the pressure.
O3 Locked-in preferential terms for the USNeutral weakA 25-year commercial contract with a state agency is not a trade clause or US ownership, and it predates the pressure.