EventStatement
Globe: the CAF has modelled a hypothetical US invasion (first time in a century); insurgency-style response; an end to NORAD cooperation would be among the warning signs
Per two unnamed senior officials (Globe and Mail, as reported by AFP): the Canadian Armed Forces built a conceptual model of a US invasion, "not a military plan". It assumes US forces could overcome Canadian positions on land and at sea in as little as two days, and a Canadian response of insurgency-style tactics (ambushes, hit-and-run). The military expected clear signs beforehand, including a US decision to end bilateral cooperation in NORAD. The officials called an invasion unlikely. Spread internationally (AFP/France 24 and others). The best public evidence of what Carney's 'studied' may cover; not confirmed by the government.
- Date
- Kind
- Other
- Where
- Canada
- Evidence
- Statement: Something was said. Weighted lowest: words cost less than actions. How evidence is weighed
- Who
- Department of National Defence (subject)
When people heard about it
The public does not always learn of an event when it happens: some come out later, and old ones can become news again because of something newer.
- Happened
- First reported
- (same day), in The Globe and Mail
- Back in the news
- (248 days later), after Carney to the NYT: he looked at the 'extreme tail risk' of US military action; 'not a base case, but it would be irresponsible not to'; in The EurAsian Times
Articles that cite this record
Sources
- France 24 / AFP, “Canada military models response to US invasion: report” (external site), . source record
- The Independent (Yahoo News), “Canada prepping response to hypothetical US military invasion for first time in a century, report says” (external site), . source record
- The Globe and Mail, “Military models Canadian response to hypothetical American invasion” (external site), . paywalled source record