EventAction
Canada's provisional 10% global safeguard tariff on canned vegetables takes effect (US goods excluded)
The provisional safeguard excludes imports from the US, Mexico, Chile, Israel and developing countries, and lasts at most 200 days.
- Date
- Kind
- Tariff action
- Where
- Canada
- Evidence
- Action: Something was done: a law switched on, a tariff imposed, money committed. How evidence is weighed
- Who
- Government of Canada (acted)
Sources
- Blakes (Blake, Cassels & Graydon), “U.S.–Canada Tariffs: Timeline of Key Dates and Documents” (external site), . source record
Tested hypotheses: a thought experiment
Suppose Washington foresaw and wanted this. Would this event look any different than under the rival readings? This is a deliberately contrarian test, explained here, not the author’s belief. Judgments, not measurements.
Non-discriminating: this event fits the plain self-interest reading and the foresight reading equally. It does not tell them apart. What this means
| Reading | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| I0a Accident Tested hypothesis (intent) | Neutral weak | A Canadian safeguard on canned vegetables says nothing about the motives behind US pressure. |
| I0b Plain self-interest; Canada's response not considered Tested hypothesis (intent) | Neutral weak | A Canadian safeguard on canned vegetables says nothing about the motives behind US pressure. |
| I1 Foreseen and welcomed, not the reason Tested hypothesis (intent) | Neutral weak | A Canadian safeguard on canned vegetables says nothing about the motives behind US pressure. |
| I2 Foreseen and wanted (this level or higher) Tested hypothesis (intent) | Neutral weak | A Canadian safeguard on canned vegetables says nothing about the motives behind US pressure. |
| I3 Worked-out plan with specific targets Tested hypothesis (intent) | Neutral weak | A Canadian safeguard on canned vegetables says nothing about any US plan. |
| R-annex Annexation Rival reading | Neutral weak | A Canadian trade-remedy step unrelated to US aims fits all readings equally. |
| R-frag Fragmentation Rival reading | Neutral weak | A Canadian trade-remedy step unrelated to US aims fits all readings equally. |
| R-weaken Weaken-Canada rivals (annexation or fragmentation) Rival reading | Neutral weak | A Canadian trade-remedy step unrelated to US aims fits all readings equally. |