EventAction
British Columbia general election, polling day (scheduled)
Scheduled; result pending. Early polls were split: Angus Reid Institute (online, 2026-09-22 to 24) had the Conservatives at 43% and the NDP at 35% among decided and leaning voters; Liaison Strategies (IVR, 2026-09-21 to 22) had the NDP at 41% and the Conservatives at 36%. In the Angus Reid survey, 15% named US tariffs, Donald Trump or the alcohol ban as a top issue.
- Date
- Kind
- Election
- Where
- British Columbia
- Evidence
- Action: Something was done: a law switched on, a tariff imposed, money committed. How evidence is weighed
- Who
- David Eby (subject); BC New Democratic Party (subject); Conservative Party of British Columbia (subject); Lorne Doerkson (subject)
Articles that cite this record
Sources
- Wikipedia, “2026 British Columbia general election” (external site). source record
- Liaison Strategies, “B.C.: NDP Leads Conservatives 41% to 36% as Election Begins” (external site), . source record
- Angus Reid Institute, “Ballot Backlash: BC Conservatives open 8-point lead after snap election call, but electorate far from locked in” (external site), . source record
Claims that rest on this event
- Canadians' rally against the US shows in behaviour, not just polls: return trips from the US fell 25.4% in 2025 (all modes; car trips were still 27% below 2024 in August 2026), spending on US visits fell by C$3.3 billion, boycotts spread, and two premiers called snap elections citing the US threat. This shows the effect, not what caused it.
In BC, tariffs are a top issue for only 15% of voters.
- The rally works unevenly: in Quebec it feeds sovereignty and 'control of our territory', not a blank cheque for fast-tracking, and in BC tariffs are a top issue for only 15% of voters.
15% top-issue figure (Angus Reid).
Logged against predictions
- P12: October platforms: "soft before, hard after" (logged 27 September 2026, logged only)