Event16 January 2026Document

Abacus (Jan 9-14, 2026): 62% back a West Coast pipeline (18% opposed); every negative condition tested cuts support to 40-46%, including 45% if the US got more oil from Venezuela

An Abacus Data survey fielded January 9-14, 2026 found 62% supporting a pipeline to the West Coast and 18% opposed; support fell to between 40% and 46% under each negative condition tested, including 45% if the United States secured more oil from Venezuela and needed less from Canada.

Date: 16 January 2026
Kind: Other
Where: Canada
Evidence: Document: An official document: a bill, a filing, an agreement text. How evidence is weighed

Evidence for

At home, new pipelines are sold as a way to reach buyers outside the US: in an Angus Reid poll, 55% picked 'sell oil outside the US' as a persuasive reason …

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Sources

Abacus Data, “Canadians continue to broadly support a pipeline to the West Coast, but backing is conditional” (external site), 16 January 2026. source record

Claims that rest on this event

ContextMechanism
At home, new pipelines are sold as a way to reach buyers outside the US: in an Angus Reid poll, 55% picked 'sell oil outside the US' as a persuasive reason (several answers were allowed). So the link from the build-out to more output flowing south has to come from contracts and tariff design, not from the rally.
Abacus, January 2026: 62% back a West Coast pipeline, but every drawback tested cuts support to 40-46%, including 45% if the US got more oil from Venezuela.