Event31 August 2026Document

Léger (Aug 28-31, 2026): 41% call the US an enemy (up 15 points from June 2025; ally 22%); 64% say their view would change without Trump; 74% agree with Carney's new counter-tariffs; 41% feel more proud recently

A Léger omnibus survey fielded August 28-31, 2026 found 41% of Canadians calling the United States an enemy (up 15 points from June 2025; 22% called it an ally), 64% saying their view would change without Donald Trump, 74% agreeing with the Carney government's new counter-tariffs, and 41% saying they had felt more proud to be Canadian recently.

Date

31 August 2026

Kind

Other

Where

Canada

Evidence

Document: An official document: a bill, a filing, an agreement text. How evidence is weighed

Sources

• Léger, “Canada-U.S. Trade War: Léger online survey of Canadians, August 28–31, 2026” (external site), 31 August 2026. source record

Claims that rest on this event

• ContextMechanism

  Canadians' rally against the US shows in behaviour, not just polls: return trips from the US fell 25.4% in 2025 (all modes; car trips were still 27% below 2024 in August 2026), spending on US visits fell by C$3.3 billion, boycotts spread, and two premiers called snap elections citing the US threat. This shows the effect, not what caused it.

  Léger, August 2026: 41% call the US an enemy and 74% back the new counter-tariffs. Opinion, set beside the behaviour the claim counts.

• SupportsTested hypothesis: rival reading

  Annexation as a working strategy is contradicted by its effect: support for joining the US fell from 13% to 9% (Léger, same question, December 2024 to August 2026) while the provocations ran, and the only annexation-flavoured acts with legal force are cheap and symbolic (the order renaming Lake Ontario 'Lake America' for US federal use). This counts against annexation as a strategy, not against annexation as a wish.

  Léger, August 2026: 41% of Canadians call the US an enemy, up 15 points from June 2025: the provocations hardened opinion against the US.