EventDocument
Canada announces 25% counter-tariffs on C$155B of US goods: C$30B first, then C$125B
On 1 February 2025 Finance Minister Dominic LeBlanc and Foreign Minister Mélanie Joly announced 25% tariffs on C$155 billion of US goods: C$30 billion from 4 February, when the US tariffs were due, and C$125 billion more after a 21-day comment period. Both the US tariffs and Canada's first list were paused on 3 February; the C$30 billion list took effect on 4 March 2025, and the second list was never enacted.
- Date
- Kind
- Tariff action
- Where
- Canada
- Evidence
- Document: An official document: a bill, a filing, an agreement text. How evidence is weighed
- Who
- United States federal government (target); Government of Canada (acted); Justin Trudeau (subject)
Latest articles
No article cites this record yet.
Sources
- Department of Finance Canada, “Canada announces $155B tariff package in response to unjustified U.S. tariffs” (external site), . source record
Tested hypotheses: a thought experiment
Suppose Washington foresaw and wanted this. Would this event look any different than under the rival readings? This is a deliberately contrarian test, explained here, not the author’s belief. Judgments, not measurements.
Non-discriminating: this event fits the plain self-interest reading and the foresight reading equally. It does not tell them apart. What this means
| Reading | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| I0a Accident Tested hypothesis (intent) | Neutral weak | Canada's counter-tariff announcement is a Canadian action; it says nothing about US intent or rival goals. |
| I0b Plain self-interest; Canada's response not considered Tested hypothesis (intent) | Neutral weak | Canada's counter-tariff announcement is a Canadian action; it says nothing about US intent or rival goals. |
| I1 Foreseen and welcomed, not the reason Tested hypothesis (intent) | Neutral weak | Canada's counter-tariff announcement is a Canadian action; it says nothing about US intent or rival goals. |
| I2 Foreseen and wanted (this level or higher) Tested hypothesis (intent) | Neutral weak | Canada's counter-tariff announcement is a Canadian action; it says nothing about US intent or rival goals. |
| I3 Worked-out plan with specific targets Tested hypothesis (intent) | Neutral weak | Canada's counter-tariff announcement is a Canadian action; it says nothing about US intent or rival goals. |
| R-annex Annexation Rival reading | Neutral weak | Canada's counter-tariff announcement is a Canadian action; it says nothing about US intent or rival goals. |
| R-frag Fragmentation Rival reading | Neutral weak | Canada's counter-tariff announcement is a Canadian action; it says nothing about US intent or rival goals. |
| R-weaken Weaken-Canada rivals (annexation or fragmentation) Rival reading | Neutral weak | Canada's counter-tariff announcement is a Canadian action; it says nothing about US intent or rival goals. |