Event31 August 2026Document

Léger: 9% of Canadians would like Canada to become the 51st US state, down from 13% in December 2024

In a Léger online survey of 1,552 Canadians conducted from 28 to 31 August 2026, 9% said they would like Canada to become the 51st state of the United States and 85% said they would not (report p. 12). When Léger asked the same question on 6 to 9 December 2024 (n=1,520), 13% said yes and 82% no (p. 5 of that report). The August 2026 report also shows 11% saying yes in January 2025 and 9% in March 2025 (p. 12).

Date

31 August 2026

Kind

Other

Where

Canada

Evidence

Document: An official document: a bill, a filing, an agreement text. How evidence is weighed

Sources

• Léger, “Canadians' Perception of the Idea of Canada Becoming the 51st State of the United States (Léger, project 16811-123)” (external site), 10 December 2024. source record
• Léger, “Canada-U.S. Trade War: Léger online survey of Canadians, August 28–31, 2026” (external site), 31 August 2026. source record

Claims that rest on this event

• SupportsTested hypothesis: rival reading

  Annexation as a working strategy is contradicted by its effect: support for joining the US fell from 13% to 9% (Léger, same question, December 2024 to August 2026) while the provocations ran, and the only annexation-flavoured acts with legal force are cheap and symbolic (the order renaming Lake Ontario 'Lake America' for US federal use). This counts against annexation as a strategy, not against annexation as a wish.

  Source of the 13% to 9% figure: same Léger question, Dec 2024 vs Aug 2026.