EventJanuary 2025Document

January 2025 polls on joining the US: Angus Reid 10%, Ipsos 20%, Abacus 22% ('open or want'), YouGov 15%; Alberta highest at about 18%. US polls Jan-Feb 2025: 15-41% of Americans back annexation

Canadian polls in January 2025 on joining the United States: Angus Reid 10%, Ipsos 20%, Abacus Data 22% ('open to' or wanting it) and YouGov 15%; Alberta was highest, at about 18% (Angus Reid). US polls in January-February 2025 found between 15% and 41% of Americans supporting annexation (compiled by Wikipedia).

Date

January 2025 (known to the month)

Kind

Other

Where

Canada

Evidence

Document: An official document: a bill, a filing, an agreement text. How evidence is weighed

Sources

• Wikipedia, “Wikipedia item cited for provocation #10 (2025-01-24, Trump); article title not given in the file” (external site). source record
• Abacus Data, “Abacus: Trump tariffs and the 51st state” (external site), 17 January 2025. source record

Claims that rest on this event

• ContextTested hypothesis: rival reading

  Annexation as a working strategy is contradicted by its effect: support for joining the US fell from 13% to 9% (Léger, same question, December 2024 to August 2026) while the provocations ran, and the only annexation-flavoured acts with legal force are cheap and symbolic (the order renaming Lake Ontario 'Lake America' for US federal use). This counts against annexation as a strategy, not against annexation as a wish.

  January 2025 polls put Canadians open to joining the US at 10% to 22%, depending on the pollster and wording: the baseline before the provocations ran.