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EventAction

House of Commons passes Part 2 of Bill C-5, the Building Canada Act, at third reading by 306 votes to 31, with Conservatives voting in favour

On 20 June 2025 the House of Commons voted 306 to 31 (2 paired) to adopt Part 2 and the schedule of Bill C-5, the One Canadian Economy Act, which enacts the Building Canada Act; the third-reading question on the bill was put in two parts (recorded division no. 34). The first part (Part 1, the internal-trade act, and the short title) passed 335 to 1 (vote no. 33), with Green Party Leader Elizabeth May the only no. According to the official House of Commons vote record and openparliament.ca, Liberal and Conservative MPs voted yes. The 31 no votes came from the Bloc Québécois and NDP MPs, Green Party Leader Elizabeth May and Liberal MP Nathaniel Erskine-Smith. No Conservative MP voted no; two Conservatives did not vote and one was paired. The bill received royal assent on 26 June 2025.

Date
Kind
Legislation
Where
Canada
Evidence
Action: Something was done: a law switched on, a tariff imposed, money committed. How evidence is weighed
Who
Elizabeth May (subject); Conservative Party of Canada (subject); Bloc Québécois (subject); New Democratic Party (federal) (subject); House of Commons of Canada (acted)

Sources

Laws and agreements

Claims that rest on this event

How it bears on the outcome

ExplanationFitWhy
O0 No meaningful speed-upAgainst weakA fast-track law enacted within weeks with broad support (the Building Canada Act passing third reading 306-31) would be somewhat surprising if no speed-up were coming; a law enables building, it does not build.
O1 Faster, but the extra output goes mostly elsewhereFits weakConsistent with a faster build-out; the law says nothing about where output goes, so it fits this reading and the next equally.
O2 Faster, and more volume reaches the US (this level or higher)Fits weakConsistent with a faster build-out; the law is silent on destination, so it fits this reading and the previous one equally.
O3 Locked-in preferential terms for the USNeutral weakA domestic approvals law contains no US preferential terms.

Logged against predictions