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EventAction

Revised country-specific 'reciprocal' tariff rates take effect for other US trading partners

Under the executive order 'Further Modifying the Reciprocal Tariff Rates', revised country-specific rates took effect on Aug 7, 2025 for partners without a trade agreement; countries not covered stayed at the 10% baseline. Canada was not covered by these rates: its separate rate had risen from 25% to 35% on Aug 1, 2025, with CUSMA-compliant goods still exempt.

Date
Kind
Tariff action
Where
International
Evidence
Action: Something was done: a law switched on, a tariff imposed, money committed. How evidence is weighed

Sources

Tested hypotheses: a thought experiment

Suppose Washington foresaw and wanted this. Would this event look any different than under the rival readings? This is a deliberately contrarian test, explained here, not the author’s belief. Judgments, not measurements.

Non-discriminating: this event fits the plain self-interest reading and the foresight reading equally. It does not tell them apart. What this means

ReadingFitWhy
I0a Accident
Tested hypothesis (intent)
Neutral weakRates for other trading partners, which did not cover Canada, fit all readings equally.
I0b Plain self-interest; Canada's response not considered
Tested hypothesis (intent)
Neutral weakRates for other trading partners, which did not cover Canada, fit all readings equally.
I1 Foreseen and welcomed, not the reason
Tested hypothesis (intent)
Neutral weakRates for other trading partners, which did not cover Canada, fit all readings equally.
I2 Foreseen and wanted (this level or higher)
Tested hypothesis (intent)
Neutral weakRates for other trading partners, which did not cover Canada, fit all readings equally.
I3 Worked-out plan with specific targets
Tested hypothesis (intent)
Neutral weakRates for other trading partners, which did not cover Canada, fit all readings equally.
R-annex Annexation
Rival reading
Neutral weakRates for other trading partners, which did not cover Canada, fit all readings equally.
R-frag Fragmentation
Rival reading
Neutral weakRates for other trading partners, which did not cover Canada, fit all readings equally.
R-weaken Weaken-Canada rivals (annexation or fragmentation)
Rival reading
Neutral weakRates for other trading partners, which did not cover Canada, fit all readings equally.