EventAction
House of Commons approves the budgetary policy of the government (Budget 2025) by 170 votes to 168; Conservatives vote no
On 17 November 2025 the House of Commons adopted the motion "That this House approve in general the budgetary policy of the government", moved by Finance Minister François-Philippe Champagne, by 170 votes to 168 (recorded division no. 50). This was the main vote on Budget 2025. According to the House of Commons and openparliament.ca records, Liberal MPs and Green Party Leader Elizabeth May voted yes. Conservative, Bloc Québécois and NDP MPs voted no. Conservative MPs Matt Jeneroux and Shannon Stubbs and NDP MPs Lori Idlout and Gord Johns did not vote.
- Date
- Kind
- Legislation
- Where
- Canada
- Evidence
- Action: Something was done: a law switched on, a tariff imposed, money committed. How evidence is weighed
- Who
- Conservative Party of Canada (subject); House of Commons of Canada (acted)
Evidence for
- Nothing yet tests whether C-39 (the bill making the federal fast track permanent) and the Productivity Mega Deduction (a tax write-off for new investment) …
- The Productivity Mega Deduction would cut Canada's overall effective tax rate on new business investment from about 13% to 6.4% (US: 16.9%). It names mining …
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Sources
- openparliament.ca, “House of Commons vote 45-1 #50: Budget 2025” (external site), . source record
- House of Commons, “House of Commons vote 45-1 #50 (Budget 2025, budgetary policy)” (external site), . source record
Claims that rest on this event
- Nothing yet tests whether C-39 (the bill making the federal fast track permanent) and the Productivity Mega Deduction (a tax write-off for new investment) would survive a change of government: the Conservatives have not voted on either and have not said how they will vote on C-39, so claims that they are durable rest on statements.
Conservatives voted against Budget 2025, which carried the predecessor super-deduction.
- The Productivity Mega Deduction would cut Canada's overall effective tax rate on new business investment from about 13% to 6.4% (US: 16.9%). It names mining property, pipelines and LNG, dropped the low-carbon condition for LNG, and applies to assets bought from September 15, 2026, though it is still a draft, not law. The tilt toward resources is clearest here, not in C-39.
The predecessor passed by two votes, showing thin support.
How it bears on the outcome
| Explanation | Fit | Why |
|---|---|---|
| O0 No meaningful speed-up | Neutral weak | A narrow vote on the government's general budgetary policy does not show speed or destination of the build-out; it fits all outcome readings equally. |
| O1 Faster, but the extra output goes mostly elsewhere | Neutral weak | A narrow vote on the government's general budgetary policy does not show speed or destination of the build-out; it fits all outcome readings equally. |
| O2 Faster, and more volume reaches the US (this level or higher) | Neutral weak | A narrow vote on the government's general budgetary policy does not show speed or destination of the build-out; it fits all outcome readings equally. |
| O3 Locked-in preferential terms for the US | Neutral weak | A narrow vote on the government's general budgetary policy does not show speed or destination of the build-out; it fits all outcome readings equally. |