ClaimOutcome
If everything planned is built, LNG export capacity roughly triples (from 14 to about 45 million tonnes a year), and LNG would carry about 40% of Canada's gas exports overseas. LNG Canada's Phase 2 took its final investment decision on 29 September 2026: two more trains, doubling the plant from 14 to 28 million tonnes a year, about C$33 billion, with operations expected in the early 2030s. Gas sent to the US by pipeline may dip from 8.6 to 8.0 billion cubic feet a day by 2027, but the journal's model still expects more gas to reach the US by the mid-2030s, because it assumes most gas for new LNG comes from new production.
The evidence it rests on
Supports (5)
- LNG Canada ships its first cargo from Kitimat, BC, bound for Asia
LNG Canada's first cargo, bound for Asia, starts Canada's overseas LNG exports from a first phase of 14 million tonnes a year.
Documented by: LNG Canada, “First Cargo Puts Canada on the Map of LNG Exporting Nations” (external site), . and 3 more
- ARC Resources agrees to sell all its Cedar LNG output (about 1.5 million tonnes a year) to ExxonMobil LNG Asia Pacific at international LNG prices
Cedar volumes sold to an ExxonMobil affiliate that is aiming them at Asian markets.
Documented by: ARC Resources, “ARC Resources Ltd. announces long-term sale and purchase agreement with ExxonMobil” (external site), . and 1 more
- Uniper signs a binding agreement to buy 2 Mtpa of LNG from Ksi Lisims for up to 20 years, with first deliveries expected in 2032
A European buyer signed for 2 Mtpa from Ksi Lisims, one of the planned LNG projects behind the expected tripling of LNG export capacity.
Documented by: Major Projects Office, “Ksi Lisims LNG - Major Projects Office” (external site). and 3 more
- LNG Canada partners approve 'hundreds of millions of dollars' in pre-FID funding for Phase 2
LNG Canada's partners approved early Phase 2 spending in May 2026 and took the final investment decision on 29 September 2026: two more trains, doubling capacity from 14 to 28 million tonnes a year, about C$33 billion, with operations expected in the early 2030s. This is part of the planned LNG growth the claim counts.
Documented by: Natural Resources Canada, “Enhanced Investment Co-operation Advances Efforts Around LNG Canada's Proposed Phase 2 Expansion” (external site), . and 2 more
- LNG Canada's partners take the final investment decision on Phase 2, to double the Kitimat plant's capacity to 28 million tonnes a year
The Phase 2 investment decision doubles the Kitimat plant to 28 million tonnes a year, part of the overseas LNG growth the claim counts.
Documented by: Major Projects Office (Government of Canada), “LNG Canada Phase 2 - Major Projects Office” (external site). and 4 more
Complicates (1)
- Metlakatla First Nation and Lax Kw'alaams Band file Federal Court challenges to the federal approval of Ksi Lisims LNG
Litigation risk against Ksi Lisims, the second big LNG project that depends on the new fast-track effort (the challenges were later withdrawn).
Documented by: CBC News (The Canadian Press), “First Nations make legal challenges to huge Ksi Lisims LNG project in northwest B.C.” (external site), . and 1 more
Claims are weighed by the evidence under them, actions first. Method.